Implementation and Evaluation of Artificial Neural Networks for Product Sales Prediction at Basmalah Stores

Authors

  • Muhammad Iqbal Akkad Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, Indonesia
  • Mokhamad Amin Hariyadi Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, Indonesia
  • Agung Teguh Wibowo Almais Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, Indonesia

DOI:

10.33395/sinkron.v9i4.15341

Keywords:

Sales prediction, artificial neural network, MSE, time series, toko basmalah

Abstract

This study aims to develop a product sales prediction system for Toko Basmalah located in the Malang Regency area by utilizing the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm. A quantitative approach was employed, using time series sales data obtained from the Marketing Division of PT. Sidogiri Pandu Utama for the period of January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2024. The research stages included data collection and preprocessing, normalization using the min-max scaling technique, data splitting into training and testing sets, ANN model experimentation with various data compositions, and performance evaluation based on the Mean Squared Error (MSE) metric. The experiments were conducted five times using the Kaggle Editor platform. The results showed that the ANN-E model with a specific architecture achieved the lowest MSE value of 34.38%, making it the most optimal model for sales prediction. These findings are expected to assist in making better decisions regarding stock management, sales planning, and business strategies in the retail environment.

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How to Cite

Akkad, M. I. ., Hariyadi, M. A. ., & Almais, A. T. W. . (2025). Implementation and Evaluation of Artificial Neural Networks for Product Sales Prediction at Basmalah Stores. Sinkron : Jurnal Dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika, 9(4). https://doi.org/10.33395/sinkron.v9i4.15341